Blog Entry

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

Posted on: February 15, 2011 2:07 pm
Edited on: February 15, 2011 9:09 pm
by Jerry Palm

Ohio State's loss at Wisconsin on Saturday and Kansas losing at Kansas State last night has caused a bit of a shakeup at the top of the bracket.   There is very little separating the teams on the top line, and not much separating them from the second line.  Here is a look at how they stand at the moment.

Pittsburgh -- The Panthers have more top 25 RPI wins than anyone (6), and four of those came away from home.  Two were last week, at West Virginia and Villanova, without their leading scorer, Ashton Gibbs.  Oddly, both of their losses have come in Pittsburgh.

Ohio St -- The Buckeyes have just one loss, the one at Wisconsin.  Everyone loses there.  The have six top 50 wins, including blowouts of Purdue and Florida.

Texas -- Leads the Big 12 and had to win at Kansas to do that.  The loss to USC is a real headscratcher, but you could argue nobody has played better the last month and a half.

San Diego State -- The Aztecs also have just one loss, which came at BYU.   They swept UNLV as part of their five top 50 wins and are 13-1 away from home.  Some even higher quality wins would be nice.

Kansas -- Like SDSU, the Jayhawks are in need of higher quality wins.  They have a neutral court win over Arizona, which is overrated (one top 50 win, home UCLA -- yawn), and beat Missouri at home among their six top 50 wins.  Kansas St is the highest rated team they have played on the road, and they got crushed.  The second-highest rated team the Jayhawks played on the road is Michigan, and they needed OT to beat the Wolverines.

BYU -- The Cougars' seven top 50 wins also includes a neutral court win over Arizona and the win over the Aztecs.  They lost to UCLA in Anaheim and at the Pit in New Mexico, where everybody loses.  Except San Diego State.

Duke -- The win over North Carolina last week was their first over a sure tournament team this season.  Their win at Miami on Sunday is their best road win of the year, after losses at St. John's and Florida State.

So, you can see, it's a pretty tight race to the finish among these seven teams.

St. John's continues to play their way up the bracket.  They beat Connecticut at home and won at Cincinnati and moved up a couple spots.  The Bearcats though are sliding, having lost three of four and with still several tough games ahead.

See complete Bracketology coverage here.

Also, the Bubble Page has been updated.

Since: Feb 20, 2011
Posted on: February 20, 2011 7:28 pm
This comment has been removed.

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Since: Jan 14, 2009
Posted on: February 20, 2011 8:37 am

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

That noise that Memphis just made was a thud.  How do you lose to Rice when you're fighting for a bid?

Since: Dec 11, 2010
Posted on: February 19, 2011 6:34 pm

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

I am having a great deal of trouble understanding why everyone says that Memphis isn't very good. Anyone who has watched them over the last two weeks would have to disagree. They are finally limiting turnovers and are not giving away possesions anymore. They are about to make some real noise. 

Since: Oct 18, 2006
Posted on: February 19, 2011 5:00 pm

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

Oppsy...Pitt lost today and SDSU just keeps chugging along! Everyone rips the MWC. MWC teams play tougher away games because of the huge distance the conference covers and the high elevation of most of the schools...that does make a difference. It was nice to see several of the top 5 lose this weekend. Go Aztecs....keep winning and they will have to respect what you have done this season.  Gotta love that East coast bias...

Since: Nov 2, 2009
Posted on: February 18, 2011 11:55 am

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

  NYguy, agree w/most of what you stated but I believe that only Pitt or ND has a chance at #1. If any other BE team wins the BE tourney, the best they could get to is #2 unless other teams ahead of them drop the ball as well. Peglefury, can't get your theory at all. Because they beat a then #12 Gonzaga, a team now that has not even 1 vote, 18-9 record and 1-6 record against top 50 teams is weak. As much as it pains me, that would be like saying that UCLA should had gotten a better football bowl game last year because they beat the then #4 Longhorns (we all know how that turned out for the season).  St Mary's? Can't believe you used that one. 11 games played against RPI teams of 201 or higher. Just lost to #310 ranked RPI San Diego! Come on buddy, you can do better than that or your arguement holds no mer! This is to me though one of the most exciting seaons in quite some time and can't wait for MARCH MADNESS as it really appllies this year!!!

Since: Feb 11, 2011
Posted on: February 17, 2011 6:06 pm

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

In two weeks were going to kno so much more about the top 25 , SDSU & BYU.

Since: Mar 11, 2009
Posted on: February 17, 2011 2:01 pm

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

Since: Jan 14, 2009
Posted on: February 17, 2011 1:26 am

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

Hey Coating, SDSU isnt 0-1 against top 25. IDK whos schedule youre looking at. They beat then #12 Gonzaga, a currently ranked Saint Marys, and a previously ranked UNLV twice. Only loss was at BYU whose currently 7/8. And currently 5th in RPI ahead of both Pitt and Texas

0-1 against the Top 25 means against the RPI Top 25, which is exactly what San Diego State is.  Nothing to do with the polls, especially polls from back in November.  Beating "then #12 Gonzaga" doesn't mean anything right now.  Gonzaga is just another team.  St. Mary's losing tonight will damage any credit given to that win.

That being said, I've watched San Diego State and I think they're quite good.  Not #1seed in my book, yet, but still excellent.  Probably #6 on my S-curve.

Since: Aug 9, 2010
Posted on: February 16, 2011 11:04 pm

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

Okay, so two of these seven teams have a relatively easy schedule left to go. Kansas and Texas have remaining schedules that should be completely winnable and will not have a high quality challenge until the conference tournament. If one of these two teams loses a game in this stretch, they'll most likely have to win their tournament to obtain a #1 seed. If they both last until the conference finals without losing, look for the possibility of the Big 12 getting two #1 seeds.

I see Ohio State losing one more game before the conference tournament comes around. Playing at Purdue and hosting Wisconsin is no easy task. And the way Penn St. has been playing at home (and they way they played Ohio State in Columbus), that could be a trap game for the Buckeyes. #1 seed is up in the air for OSU, but I don't see them getting anything lower than a 2.

Pitt is so hard to predict based on the fact that the Big East can just beat up on each other. Most likely, whoever wins the tournament will get a 1 seed (or a team might get it by getting to the finals as well)

BYU and SDSU need for things to happen above them. The only chance they have is to sweep the rest of their schedule, and they still have to play each other twice.

Duke has the challenge ahead of them to win at UNC. Not sure if they'll be able to pull that one off. I see them as a 2 seed come tournament time (not that there's anything wrong with being a 2).

Also look for other teams in the Big East and Big Ten to make it to this list. Especially in the Big East, if a team can put numerous wins together, they can climb the rankings rather quickly. There are still two weeks of the regular season to go and a lot can happen between now and then.

Since: Oct 29, 2010
Posted on: February 16, 2011 11:01 pm

Feb. 15 Bracket - Movement at the Top

Hahaha youre right Jay. KSU #3 seemed like an eternity ago. It really was this seasonLaughing

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